The 2023-24 NBA regular season is still more than a month away from tip-off in October, but it’s never too early to look at the latest odds for the Sixth Man of the Year award.
Last season, Boston Celtics guard Malcolm Brogdon won Sixth Man of the Year honors over Knicks guard Immanuel Quickley, receiving 60 of 100 first-place votes. Brogdon gave the Celtics a huge boost off the bench last season, scoring 14.9 points per game on 48.4% shooting and 44.4% from the three-point range.
Heading into this season, Brogdon has the second-best odds (+800) to repeat as the NBA’s Sixth Man of the Year. However, the veteran combo guard will have multiple contenders looking to dethrone him.
Below, we’ll look at the favorites to win 6MOY while also pointing out some contenders and sleepers that bettors should watch out for.
NBA Sixth Man of the Year Odds
NBA betting odds used for these Sixth Man of the Year predictions are current as of Thursday, Aug. 31, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Immanuel Quickley (+700)
- Malcolm Brogdon (+800)
- Norman Powell (+1000)
- Malik Monk (+1000)
- Bobby Portis (+1500)
- Chris Paul (+1600)
- Jordan Poole (+2200)
- Bogdan Bogdanovic (+2200)
- Caleb Martin (+2200)
- Kevin Porter Jr. (+2200)
- Bennedict Mathurin (+2500)
- Josh Hart (+2500)
To no one’s surprise, Quickley and Brogdon are the two front-runners to win Sixth Man of the Year this season. Both players had identical statlines for their respective teams last year and should play significant roles again in 2023-24.
Speaking of surprises, Chris Paul enters the Sixth Man of the Year race for the first time in his career after he was traded to the Warriors in the offseason. Paul will likely start on the bench in Golden State as its backcourt is set with Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson.
But with Jordan Poole in D.C., Paul has a prime opportunity to lead the Warriors’ second unit.
Who Will Win NBA Sixth Man of the Year in 2024?
Chris Paul, Golden State Warriors (+1600)
After a lackluster ending to his time with the Suns, Paul has a prime opportunity to bounce back with the Warriors, who will be looking to make another run at an NBA title after losing to the Lakers in the second round last season.
The Warriors haven’t spoken about what Paul’s role will be this season, but one has to guess he will be coming off the bench with Golden State having Curry and Thompson.
- See where Curry ranks in our NBA MVP odds.
That’s not to say Paul won’t start some games here and there or be on the court in crunchtime situations, but it appears his time as a full-time starting point guard is over. This isn’t a bad thing for the future Hall of Famer, who will be another floor general for head coach Steve Kerr.
Last season with Phoenix, Paul averaged 13.9 points (career-low), 8.9 assists, and 4.3 rebounds in 32 minutes. Those aren’t great numbers for a starting point guard of Paul’s caliber, but if he replicates that off the bench for Golden State this season, the Warriors will be a top-four seed in the West.
The Sixth Man of the Year award race is always tough to predict, and this season will be no different. However, with Paul on one of the best teams in the league, his stock could quickly rise.
NBA Sixth Man of the Year Favorites
Immanuel Quickley, New York Knicks (+700)
Quickley played excellently last season for the Knicks and was one of the reasons they made it into the playoffs as a fifth seed.
The 23-year-old finished second in 6MOY voting behind Brogdon, receiving 34 first-place votes. However, he scored a career-high 14.3 points per game on 44.8% shooting and connected on 37% of his attempts from three-point range.
The former first-round pick went on a tear after the NBA All-Star break, which tightened the gap in the Sixth Man of the Year race in March and April. He averaged 21 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game in the final 22 games of the regular season.
Quickley will once again be one of head coach Tom Thibodeau’s top scoring options off the bench as the Knicks try to become a top-four seed in the Eastern Conference.
Malcolm Brogdon, Boston Celtics (+800)
Brogdon has the second-best odds to win Sixth Man of the Year this season. However, don’t be surprised if Boston inserts him into the starting lineup after they traded Marcus Smart to the Grizzlies in the offseason.
The former NBA Rookie of the Year had a great first season with the Celtics and helped them make another deep run in the playoffs. Brogdon averaged 14.9 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.7 assists in 26 minutes per game off the bench.
- Can the Celtics get over the hump? Read more in our 2024 NBA Finals odds & predictions.
The 30-year-old combo guard proved he can still be a lethal offensive player off the bench, hitting timely baskets for a Celtics team that featured Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, and Smart.
However, there’s always a chance that Boston sticks White in the starting lineup moving forward, which would keep Brogdon’s Sixth Man of the Year chances alive this season.
The last player to repeat as Sixth Man of the Year was Lou Williams, who won the award in 2018 and 2019 with the Clippers.
NBA Sixth Man of the Year Contenders
Malik Monk, Sacramento Kings (+1500)
Monk did not receive any first-place votes for Sixth Man of the Year last season but still finished fifth in the voting.
The former Kentucky Wildcat guard played an integral part in the Kings’ success last season, which saw them win the Pacific Division and make the playoffs for the first time since the 2005-06 season.
Monk shined under head coach Mike Brown, scoring 13.5 points per game on 44.8% shooting and 35.9% from beyond the arc. The 24-year-old wasn’t just a scorer but showed the ability to get others involved on the floor, averaging a career-high 3.9 assists per game last season.
In the first round of the playoffs, Monk averaged 19 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game against the Warriors. At 15-1 odds, he’s worth a flier as the Kings are the real deal and should be competing for a playoff spot again this season.
Caleb Martin, Miami Heat (+2200)
Martin is another player to watch in the Sixth Man of the Year award race this season, especially after his performance in the postseason.
The 27-year-old forward was one of Miami’s most consistent players in the NBA playoffs and helped it reach the NBA Finals as a No. 8 seed. Martin posted 12.7 points and 5.4 rebounds in 30.2 minutes per game. He also shot a spectacular 42.3% from beyond the arc on 4.5 attempts per game.
This was a noticeable improvement from the regular season, where Martin only averaged 9.6 points and 4.8 rebounds per game.
At 22-1 odds, Martin winning Sixth Man of the Year isn’t a bad bet, as Miami will need to make up for the lost production caused by the departures of Gabe Vincent and Max Strus.
NBA Sixth Man of the Year Sleepers
Bogdan Bogdanovic, Atlanta Hawks (+2200)
The veteran two-guard is coming off a solid season for the Hawks, where he scored 14.9 points per game on 44.7% shooting and 40.6% from three-point range. Last season was only the second time in Bogdanovic’s career that he shot 40% or better from beyond the arc.
Heading into this season, Bogdanovic will be one of Atlanta’s primary scorers on the second unit as the team tries to make a significant leap under Quin Snyder.
- Check out where the Hawks rank in our NBA Eastern Conference odds.
The 31-year-old didn’t receive any votes for Sixth Man of the Year last season, but his shooting stats are on par with those of Brogdon and Quickley.
If the Hawks can be competitive in the Southeast Division and fight for a top-six seed this season, Bogdanovic will make waves in the 6MOY race.
Gabe Vincent, Los Angeles Lakers (+5000)
After re-signing Austin Reaves to a four-year, $53 million deal in free agency, one could make the case that the Lakers will insert him into the starting lineup. If that’s the case and head coach Darvin Ham keeps D’Angelo Russell at point guard this season, it could open up the door for Gabe Vincent to win Sixth Man of the Year.
Vincent signed a three-year, $33 million deal with the Lakers after spending the first four years of his career with the Heat. The 27-year-old combo guard had a stellar postseason in Miami, averaging 12.7 points per game on 40.2% shooting and 37.8% from three-point range after being inserted in the starting lineup for an injured Tyler Herro.
Vincent is in a perfect situation to increase his 6MOY odds as the Lakers are coming off a Western Conference Finals appearance, and his two new teammates (Reaves – +3000, Rui Hachimura – +3000) could have bigger roles after their playoff performances.
Previous NBA Sixth Man of the Year Winners
2023: Malcolm Brogdon, Boston Celtics
2022: Tyler Herro, Miami Heat
2021: Jordan Clarkson, Utah Jazz
2020: Montrezl Harrell, Los Angeles Clippers
2019: Lou Williams, Los Angeles Clippers
2018: Lou Williams, Los Angeles Clippers
2017: Eric Gordon, Houston Rockets
2016: Jamal Crawford, Los Angeles Clippers
2015: Lou Williams, Toronto Raptors
2014: Jamal Crawford, Los Angeles Clippers